Local leader & mom Karrie Delaney wins District 67 Demcratic primary for Virginia House of Delegates.
Karrie Delaney defeated two other candidates to win the Democratic Party nomination for the District 67 Virginia House of Delegates races. The seat is currently held by Republican Jim LeMunyon. This seat was not challenged by a Democrat in the last cycle. LeMunyon got 11,231 votes out of the 11,792 cast.
CONNECT WITH KARRIE DELANEY'S CAMPAIGN:
DISTRICT 67 FAST FACTS:
- Residents = 80,010
- Registered Active Voters = 52,383
- Percent Registered = 65%
- Total Vote in Last District 21 Race = 11,231
- Participation Rate = 21%
- Total Vote for Republican last Race = 11,231
- Total Vote for Democrat last Race = 0
- Localities = Loudoun and Fairfax Counties
The precinct count is a little furry, I am relying on two public sources to create the data and they do not match. My best guess is there are 3 Loudoun County precincts and 16 Fairfax County precincts but don't hold me to that.In any case, this district is clearly centered in Fairfax County.
Here is the vote share by locality:
This race is really wide open frankly. 21% participation is pretty bad, so there is a lot of opportunities. Of the 19 total precincts, 10 of them are less than 21% participation. Those would definitely be the precincts to target early on. Of course, a deeper dive on the voter file would be helpful in setting priorities, but those softest areas are a good place to look first.
To see what I mean about wide open, lets take a look at Vote Share by Precinct:
Rocky Run, Waples Mill and Little River are precincts with a lot of opportunities, most of the precincts actually have a lot of opportunities.
Here is a plot of the Republican vote totals in the precincts. This is a pretty narrow range of performance, but the precincts below the line would be where you want to look for support first:
District 67 is a strong target for us Democrats to flip. That said, to do so we must take a seriously hard look at how to win the race. This is why we need to rally behind Karrie and support her campaign, to give her the best opportunity to flip this vulnerable seat!!
Here are more reasons why we should support the full slate of candidates.
The best way, for a political party, to connect with voters is to ask for their vote. Last cycle, Democrats did not contest 44 out 100 House of Delegates seat in Virginia. Those 44 seats represent roughly 3,520,000 Virginians. It does not matter your view on the issues, if a party does not run candidates in your district, it is less likely you will support that party consistently. If Democrats do not ask for these votes, the message to Virginians living in these mostly rural districts is the Democratic Party is not interested in their concerns.
This issue is not unique to Virginia either. In the last cycle, Democrats did not compete in 1,479 state legislative races nationwide. The districts we did not compete in represent more that 117,000,000 people. We often ask how people in "red America" can so consistently vote against their interests.
They are not voting against their interests at all; they are simply voting for those showing an interest in them.
As noted above, it is of critical importance we try to field candidates in as many districts as possible. If you can run, please do. These state legislative races are vital to our Democracy. They are the most local seats with enumerated powers in our Constitution. The power to change our Constitution rests in the state legislatures hands, and Republicans only need 24 more seats to control the number of states they need to do just that.
Virginia is leading the way. They are doing well contesting 88 of 100 districts this cycle. That said, if we want to start to bridge the rural and urban divide, if we want to represent all people across the state, heck across the nation, we need to step up and support the full slate of Democrats running this cycle, tough district or not. Let's work together to support Democrats across the map in Virginia like Karrie. Let's support the Full Slate TM.