Kellen Squire - Democratic Candidate for District 58 Virginia House of Delegates
District 58 is being contested this fall by a Democratic candidate stepping up to compete for the seat currently held by Republican Rob Bell. This seat has not been contested by anyone since 2009. Rob Bell has run for state Attorney General. It is great to see someone stepping up to challenge this seat this fall.
The Democratic candidate is Kellen Squire:
Thanks for stepping up!
District 58 Fast Facts
- Residents = 80,010
- Active Registered Voters = 51,063
- Percent Registered = 64%
- Total Vote in Last District 58 Race = 13,946
- Participation Rate = 27%
- Total Vote for Republican last Race = 13,946
- Total Vote for Democrat last Race = 0
- Localities = Albermarle, Fluvanna, Greene and Rockingham Counties
There are 4 localities in the district; 11 precincts in Alberlmarle County and 5 precincts each in Fluvanna, Greene and Rockingham Counties. Below is graph highlighting the vote breakdown in each locality compared to total active registered voters in 2015:
Just looking at the chart, Rockingham looks like where it is likely there is a pocket of old Democrats that have not been tapped in this District for some time. Of course, there is not enough voters here to get a win. Kellen will need to pick up votes across the 4 counties. The interesting thing, if you look at Obama's 2012 vote total in this district he scored just over 15,000 votes, enough to have won this race in 2015, when Democrats ran no one. There is no sugar coating this district, it will e a heavy lift, but I think there is a real shot to flip it despite the odds.
Here is the share of Active Voters per locality:
This is just a quick snapshot on some of the analysis I can do for your campaign simply based on publically available data. If you work with me I can help you really zero on down to address by address data once I get a hold of your voter file to analyze.
You can request a file from the Secretary of States office by contacting Vanessa Archie at firstname.lastname@example.org or at (804) 864-8908. Ask what it would take to obtain the Vote History List for District 58, let her know you are a candidate or a member of the campaign.
Support the Democratic candidate and if you are a candidate or working on a campaign check out my The Solution page on this website to see how I can help your campaign.
Let's Turn Virginia Blue in 2017. If you do not have a candidate running in your district. Run, let me help!