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Pastor Joshua Cole for the District 28 Virginia House seat

Pastor Joshua Cole for the District 28 Virginia House seat

District 28 has a newly declared Democratic candidate stepping up to compete for the seat currently held by Republican Bill Howell. Howell has not yet declared his intention to run again or not. This seat was contested in the last cycle, the Republican won by 2,788 votes. It is great to see someone stepping up to challenge this seat this fall.

The Democratic candidate is Pastor Joshua Cole:

Thanks for stepping up!

District 28 Fast Facts

  • Residents = 80,010
  • Active Registered Voters = 45,356
  • Percent Registered = 57%
  • Total Vote in Last District 28 Race = 13,332
  • Participation Rate = 29%
  • Total Vote for Republican last Race = 8,000
  • Total Vote for Democrat last Race = 5,272

There are 2 localities in the district; 18 precincts in Stafford County and 3 precincts in Fredericksburg City. Below is graph highlighting the vote breakdown for each party in each locality compared to total vote and total active registered voters in 2015:

Looking at that chart, the biggest opportunity for Democrats within the district are within the Stafford County precincts. since it makes up 87% of all the registered active voters.  There are 18 precincts, 9 of which underperformed the total participation rate of 29% in this district. In those lowest performing precincts the Democrat last cycle lost by only 293 votes. In the 9 that had a participation of 29% and higher the Democrat lost by 2,726 votes. Driving up participation in the lower performing precincts could make the difference in this race.

 

This is just a quick snapshot on some of the analysis I can do for your campaign simply based on publically available data. If you work with me I can help you really zero on down to address by address data once I get a hold of your voter file to analyze.

You can request a file from the Secretary of States office by contacting Vanessa Archie at vanessa.archie@elections.virginia.gov or at (804) 864-8908. Ask what it would take to obtain the Vote History List for District 28, let her know you are a candidate if you happen to be Joshua reading this.

Support the Democratic candidate and if you are a candidate or working on a campaign check out my The Solution page on this website to see how I can help your campaign.

Let's Turn Virginia Blue in 2017. If you do not have a candidate running in your district. Run, let me help!

Kellen Squire - Democratic Candidate for District 58 Virginia House of Delegates

Kellen Squire - Democratic Candidate for District 58 Virginia House of Delegates

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