All in Data Points

Battleground Ohio: General Assembly House District 3

House District 3 of the Ohio General Assembly makes up the entirety of Wood County Ohio. Wood County is just south of Toledo in northwestern Ohio. The largest population center in the county is Bowling Green, home of the Bowling Green State University. That fact plays an important role in the nature of electoral politics in this district.

Photo Credit: Jmslagle at en.wikipedia [GFDL (http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html) or CC-BY-SA-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/)], via Wikimedia Commons

Battleground Ohio - General Assembly House District 2

District 2 in the Ohio House comprises all of Richland County. Richland County is a largely rural county in Northern Ohio between Columbus and Cleveland on the lake. The largest population center in the County is Mansfield. I know for my family on drives up to Cleveland or other parts of Northeastern Ohio the Mansfield exits provided a must needed rest point.

Photo Credit: By Nyttend (Own work) [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

Battleground Ohio - General Assembly House District 1

District 1 in the Ohio House comprises all of Wayne County. Wayne County is a largely rural county in North East Ohio just south of the Cleveland Metro Area. The largest population center in the County is Wooster. The headquarters of Smuckers is also in this county in Orrville Ohio. This seat is held by Republican Scott Wiggam who first won the seat last year. This seat was not challenged by a Democrat over the last two cycles, although an Independent-Republican, Stephen Spoonamore, challenged last year. He is noted for his work on cyber-security and is a principle critic of Diebold and election security in general.

Photo Credit: By User:Lugevas (Own work) [CC BY-SA 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Battleground Ohio - The Ohio General Assembly - parting a sea of red.

The Virginia elections are fast approaching a point where the cake is baked. It is time to begin broadening my focus to other parts of the country in preparation for next year’s elections. As I have just moved back to Ohio and Ohio is a critical battleground state, in every election, I have decided to begin to do profiles on the state legislative districts up for election in 2018.

As you can see by the maps in the header photo of this post, the state legislative outlook here is fairly grim for Democrats. Gerrymandering plays a huge role in this. I want to acknowledge that up front. That said, this is the map we have, and this is the battlefield we must win on to at least make Ohio bluer if not turn each of these chambers blue.

To hell with polls! Sprint through that finish line! Run up that score! Get more Democrats elected!

The polls are looking good for the state-wide candidates in Virginia.

Northam is up 7 in the last poll released, the Democratic Lt Governor was up 8, all of the statewide races are up. That is great news for Virginia.

After last year though, we can’t rely on polls. We must sprint through the finish line. Now, polling does give you an indication of where you are at now. So doing what we are doing we are in a good position. The question becomes, how can we turn this advantage into a blow out victory in these races?

Francis Edwards runs to represent District 99 Virginia House of Delegates

Francis Edwards is running to represent District 99 this cycle. The seat is currently held by Republican Margaret Ransone. This seat was not challenged by a Democrat in the last cycle. The last time it was challenged by a Democrat was in 2011 when Ransone won by a daunting 7,976 vote margin out of 20,694 cast. Ransone is one of a few candidates not to have a challenger that has actually grown her support compared to her last contested race.

Cori Johnson runs to unseat Republican in District 97 Virginia House of Delegates.

Cori Johnson is running with the endorsement of the Democratic Party for District 97 in the Virginia House of Delegates Race this fall. Republican Chris Peace currently holds this post. The Republican was able to secure 15,144 votes in this race contested by a member of the Green Party who drew 4,076 votes in the last cycle. No Democratic candidate has run for this seat since the 2006 special election when Chris Peace first won this district in a narrow victory.

Democrat Sheila Bynum Coleman runs for District 62 Virginia House of Delegates seat.

Sheila Bynum Coleman is running for Democrats in District 62 Virginia House of Delegates race this fall. The seat is currently held by Republican Riley Ingram. In 2015, this seat was challenged by one of the Democratic candidates also running this year, Sheila Bynum-Coleman. Ingram won this seat by a 2,325 vote margin out of 12,153 votes cast in 2015. There is all kinds of opportunity in this district for sure.

Democrat Jennifer Carrol Foy wins Primary to represent District 2 in Virginia House of Delegates Race

Jennifer Carroll Foy won the Democratic Primary for the District 2 Virginia House of Delegates race this fall. The seat is currently held by Republican Mark Dudenhefer. A brisk primary appears to be the order of the day in this district. One of the 2 candidates this cycle did challenge Dudenhefer in 2015. Josh King's campaign fell short by just 125 votes. That is insanely close.

Retired educator Kimberly Anne Tucker scores big victory in District 81 Democratic primary for Virginia House of Delegates campaign.

Retired Educator, a cancer survivor, a military wife and mother, and a grassroots organizer won the  District 81  Democratic primary to challenge the seat currently held by Republican Barry Knight. A Green party candidate contested this race last cycle. No Democrat ran. The Republican won by 3,062 votes. That said, the Republican only drew 5,429 votes in that last election. For some context, Kimberly Anne drew 2,309 votes in just a  primary last Tuesday. That means the district is not well organized for the Republican and ought to be a prime target for flipping if we rally around Kimberly Anne's campaign.

Dr. Dawn Adams wins District 68 Democratic Primary for Virginia House of Delegates.

Dr. Dawn Adams bested two other candidates in the Democratic Primary for the District 68 seat in the Virginia House of Delegates race. The seat is currently held by Republican Manoli Loupassi. This seat was challenged by a Democrat and an Independent in the last cycle. In the last cycle, Loupassi won by a daunting 6,298 vote margin out of 25,616 cast. 

Farmer and small businesswoman Tia Walbridge wins Democratic primary in District 33 Virginia House of Delegates race.

Tia Walbridge won the District 33 Democratic primary for the Virginia House of Delegates race this fall.  Republican Dave LaRock currently holds this seat. There was a Democratic and a Libertarian challenger in the last cycle. Despite the competition, it does appear that LaRock scored a resounding victory with a margin of 4,704 votes out of 20,027 cast in the district.

Airforce veteran Rebecca Colaw wins District 64 Democratic primary for the Virginia House of Delegates race.

Rebecca Colaw won a primary against 2 others to secure the District 64 nomination to represent Democrats on the ballot in this fall's Virginia House of Delegates election. The seat is currently held by Republican Rick Morris. He is not running this cycle even though he ran uncontested last cycle. Rebecca's opponent will be Emily Brewer. In 2015 Morris drew 15,208 votes in that uncontested race. This seat is wide open this year. Should be a fun race to follow.

Healthcare professional Melissa Dart wins District 56 Democratic nomination for Virginia House of Delegates.

Melissa Dart won the Democratic primary in District 56 Virginia House of Delegates race. Republican Peter Farrell currently holds this seat. There has not been a Democratic challenger since 2009. Farrell drew 15,126 votes in this uncontested race the last cycle. Farrell has decided not to seek reelection for this district. That means Dart will be facing Republican Paul Maguire in the fall election.

Sheep farmer Tia Walbridge wins Democratic primary in District 33 Virginia House of Delegates race.

Tia Walbridge won the District 33 Democratic primary for the Virginia House of Delegates race this fall.  Republican Dave LaRock currently holds this seat. There was a Democratic and a Libertarian challenger in the last cycle. Despite the competition, it does appear that LaRock scored a resounding victory with a margin of 4,704 votes out of 20,027 cast in the district.

Elizabeth Guzman wins District 31 Democratic primary in Virginia House of Delegates campaign.

Elizabeth Guzman wins District 31 Democratic Primary for the Virginia House of Delegates campaign. The seat is currently held by Republican Scott Lingamfelter. A brisk primary appears to be the order of the day in this district. One of the 3 candidates this cycle did challenge Lingamfelter in 2015. The Democrat's campaign fell short by only 1,219 votes out of 17,793 in the last campaign.